Insurance payouts for Tuesday’s collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore could be among the largest ever in marine insurance, according to Lloyd’s of London Chief Executive Officer John Neal.

“This has the potential to be one of the largest marine losses in history,” Neal said in an interview with Bloomberg News on Thursday. “It’s a multi-billion dollar loss. I think it has to be but I think it is a little too early to say what you actually think it’s going to cost.”

The bridge collapsed Tuesday after being struck by a container ship, the Singapore-flagged Dali, sending vehicles into the water and threatening chaos at one of the most important ports on the US East Coast. Barclays Plc analysts estimated that insurers face claims of as much as $3 billion in a note on Wednesday.

Insurance claims for damage to the bridge alone could reach $1.2 billion, Barclays said in its note, predicting further potential liabilities of $350 million to $700 million for wrongful deaths and yet-to-be-determined amounts for business interruptions while access to the city’s port is blocked.

“Determining who pays those claims will rest on whether the accident was caused by negligence or mechanical failure,” Bloomberg Intelligence analysts Charles Graham and Kevin Ryan wrote in a note on the day of the collapse. “Given the multiple parties involved, settlement of any claims is likely to be complex.”

“There’s quite a complex weave of insurers that are involved with this,” Neal said in the interview Thursday, adding that the firm assumes every year that this type of loss will occur, and that expectations for financial considerations are “manageable”.

He added in a separate Bloomberg radio interview that although Lloyd’s of London insurers is involved in the cover, the risk is spread across multiple firms.

“There are many many different insurers involved throughout,” he said. “There is the financial muscle to deal with the issues that we’re talking about.” Neal said, adding that supply chain issues can get complicated when calculating losses.

Lloyd’s reported underwriting profit of £5.9 billion ($7.4 billion) for 2023 on Thursday, a £3.3 billion increase on the previous year due to lower costs from large risks and natural catastrophe claims.

Photograph: The Dali container vessel after striking the Francis Scott Key Bridge that collapsed into the Patapsco River in Baltimore, Maryland, US, on Tuesday, March 26, 2024. The commuter bridge collapsed after being struck by a container ship, causing vehicles to plunge into the water and halting shipping traffic at one of the most important ports on the US East Coast. Photo credit: Al Drago/Bloomberg